2015-2025 actuals
Source: NC Secretary of State registration data. The gold marker shows the 2026 forecast range (bear to bull), with the central estimate at its midpoint.
Select a policy sector to explore 2015–2025 registration trends, top principals, active firms, and the 2026 session outlook.
The year begins and ends here: provider rates, managed care, and budget pressure keep this the loudest policy lane in Raleigh.
Source: NC Secretary of State registration data. The gold marker shows the 2026 forecast range (bear to bull), with the central estimate at its midpoint.
A budget shock or federal Medicaid shift could quickly force a larger-than-expected lobbyist response.
The central path assumes current registration momentum holds through the 2026 session.
A cooler session leaves the lane lighter, but the issue never fully disappears.
The comparison table below keeps the full landscape visible while you use the chart above to inspect a single sector in detail.
| Sector | Heat | 2025 | Bear | Central | Bull | Trend | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Medicaid & HC Funding The year begins and ends here: provider rates, managed care, and budget pressure keep this the loudest policy lane in Raleigh. | CRITICAL | 48 | 41 | 47 | 57 | Stable | Moderate |
Education The largest active lane by volume, driven by school governance, testing, charter issues, and an expanding ed-tech footprint. | HIGH | 149 | 137 | 145 | 158 | Cooling | Low |
Energy & Environment Utilities, renewables, and rate cases keep this the state's most structurally important lobbying arena. | HIGH | 70 | 57 | 66 | 76 | Cooling | Moderate |
Law Enforcement & Immigration Small in total registrations, but easy to notice because the legislative stakes are high and the coalitions are disciplined. | HIGH | 18 | 14 | 17 | 22 | Stable | High |
HC Workforce & Licensing Workforce shortages and scope-of-practice debates keep this lane active even when the headline bills change. | ACTIVE | 74 | 68 | 71 | 81 | Cooling | Moderate |
Gaming & Sports Betting One of the fastest-growing lanes in the dataset, with sports betting normalizing the sector and casino talk adding heat. | ACTIVE | 37 | 32 | 39 | 52 | Stable | Moderate |
Elections & Redistricting The election cycle matters here more than the session calendar, so 2026 can lift the lane even when other sectors cool. | ACTIVE | 10 | 3 | 12 | 21 | Stable | Moderate |
Regulatory Reform A steady lane that rarely disappears because permitting, compliance, and business friction never quite go away. | WATCH | 35 | 30 | 34 | 42 | Stable | Moderate |
Hurricane / Disaster Recovery The real-world stakes are huge, but the organized lobbying footprint remains surprisingly thin. | WATCH | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | Stable | High |
Budget & Fiscal Policy Small in raw volume, but unusually important because it sits beside the budget fight that governs everything else. | CRITICAL | 8 | 5 | 9 | 14 | Stable | High |
Hearings and fast-moving bills likely to pull new lobbying activity into the next session.
The bills hub adds search, status, categories, hearings, and lobbying-match context.
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